Ukraine Peace Efforts Gain Traction

Ukraine Peace Efforts Gain Traction — But the Road Ahead Is Uncertain

1. High-Level Diplomacy and Security Pledges

U.S. President Trump’s special envoy, Keith Kellogg, revealed that diplomatic efforts are being ramped up to secure near-term security guarantees. A summit between Putin and Zelenskyy is being explored, with a two-week deadline to deliver meaningful progress, especially toward halting Russian aggression.
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Meanwhile, Europe is mobilizing. European leaders have been touring Kyiv, reaffirming their commitment with financial support and bolstering military aid. Canada has pledged CAD 2 billion, Norway continues its aid program, and NATO is reinforcing its support for Ukraine’s defense.
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2. Signs of Concession—and Challenges Ahead

U.S. Vice President JD Vance expressed optimism that Russia has made “significant concessions,” including recognition of Ukraine’s territorial integrity—a hopeful sign for diplomacy. However, most agreements remain vague and unfinalized.
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On Ukraine’s Independence Day, Zelenskyy reaffirmed his resolve to reclaim all occupied territory. The day also saw a significant prisoner exchange—146 each between Ukraine and Russia—highlighting the war’s human cost and the transactional nature of diplomacy.
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3. A “Coalition of the Willing” Adds Momentum

Britain and France lead a newly forming “coalition of the willing”—a 31-country alliance expressing readiness to provide security and even peacekeeping forces for Ukraine, should a ceasefire or agreement be reached. The initiative stems from the March 2025 London Summit.
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Additionally, Ukraine is engaging with Global South countries, inviting their diplomatic pressure to shape negotiations and counterbalance polarizing global tensions.
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